You may have heard people say that poker is not gambling, or that poker is a game of skill, not of luck and while both of those statements have some truth to them, both over shed light on the issue. The reality is that poker is a sort of gambling, as any pro poker player will tell you. it is also a game of enormous ability. Unlike roulette or craps, poker allows a skilled player to have a positive expectancy, so while there'll be short terms losses due to bad runs of cards, good players will be profit-making in the long run.
Many amateur players believe they are progressing, only to hit a bad run and then reach the conclusion that poker is impossible to win and they should just cut their losses. But don't forget, while ability is a major part of poker, luck also plays a role too. No poker player, irrespective of how talented, gifted or experienced they are can win every game it's only in the long run that ability and judgement will overcome luck.
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If we can draw a comparison, poker is like an investment, the stock will go up and it'll go down. Some individuals strike it lucky with a minimal of effort, in the sense that they manage to take a position in a corporation that has a healthy profit margin and good prospects meaning that the stock and the value of it rises quickly and constantly. Poker isn't quite like that, as it will require months of practise and study for you to win on a constant basis.
Some poker books make the rather sobering claim the player will not be able to win typically until they accumulate at least 1400 hours of gameplay. While this is a little extreme, it is doing emphasize the point that like any talent, playing poker well requires time to learn and develop.
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A more realistic goal in my viewpoint is three months. If a new player has the time to study and practice on a regular basis they should expect to be at least breaking even at low limits inside a quarter, so long as they have the patience and discipline to play tightly, and not go on tilt and spew away their chips after a bad beat.
Often players will have stupid lucky runs, these are flukes and probabilistic deviations, and so tiny to stress about. These types of players will often get over-confident and make the wrong move, allowing you to benefit from their mistakes, or they are going to leave the table. The bottom line is that in the long run they will always lose if they are counting on luck.
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The reality is, as ironic as it may seem, that luck tends to make a player worse. It's straightforward psychology if you make a bad play, but get fortunate and it wins you money, your cerebral cortex gets a positive strengthening of that play it won you money that time, so you are more likely to try it again.
This is why poker can't be learned by practice alone only studying the game, while also getting in the playing experience is likely to yield positive results. Luck can be corrosive to a player's plan as it makes them complacent and lazy. This is true from the rankest amateur to the most experienced professional. If you find yourself on a lucky run, quit while you are ahead and take time to think about just how you are conducting yourself. If you're playing solid poker, but also getting fortunate then great, but if you are counting on luck while making less than optimal plays then you need to take stock, and adjust your style accordingly before your luck runs out!
The other important fact is that a healthy bankroll will cushion you from the results of luck. If you chance to be playing pretty well, but are getting plenty of bad beats then you'll feel the percentages are stacked against you. However , the simple fact is that everyone will suffer bad beats and bad runs of cards, but if your bankroll is big enough to cope with the swings at whatever level you are playing then you can absorb those losses as a part of the game without caring about them. So don't over play your bankroll, keep an eye on how you are playing, and know that even if your opponents are getting fortunate and catching those two-outers on the stream, your skill and patience will be rewarded in the final analysis.
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